Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.3%). Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 55.1%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 57.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 52.1%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Newhook
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Newhook
Holmberg
Last 5: Newhook 3-2 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Newhook
Holmberg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
45.7% (175)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
75.0% (8)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.0% (20)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Newhook
Holmberg
Home
45.1% (246)
50.9% (112)
Away
48.0% (246)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Newhook
Holmberg
P1
44.7%
47.1%
P2
49.7%
45.7%
P3
43.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |