Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 75.5%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 65.5%
Neutral zone
Newhook 53.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Newhook
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Holmberg
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Holmberg
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
2
Newhook
Holmberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Newhook
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
49.0% (245)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
33.3% (3)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.6% (37)
+51.4%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Holmberg is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Newhook
Holmberg
Home
39.6% (278)
50.3% (147)
Away
46.1% (280)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Newhook
Holmberg
P1
37.3%
59.2%
P2
42.9%
40.0%
P3
47.3%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |