Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Johansen 58.2% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 66.0%
Defensive zone
Newhook 74.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 72.3%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Newhook
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Newhook
Johansen
Last 7: Newhook 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Newhook
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Newhook
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
59.8% (625)
-18.0%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
58.2% (196)
-22.3%
On power play, Johansen has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Newhook is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Newhook shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Newhook
Johansen
Home
42.4% (236)
60.3% (436)
Away
40.4% (267)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Newhook
Johansen
P1
42.9%
61.3%
P2
38.5%
60.4%
P3
43.2%
56.0%
Final 5 min
36.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |