Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 74.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 76.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 76.3%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Newhook
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Newhook
Johansen
Last 10: Newhook 2-8 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
2
Newhook
Johansen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Newhook
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Newhook
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
53.1% (11,017)
-11.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
56.2% (2,163)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
50.5% (978)
-3.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Newhook
Johansen
Home
41.6% (1,061)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Newhook
Johansen
P1
39.9%
53.2%
P2
41.9%
53.9%
P3
43.1%
52.8%
OT
80.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |