Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Carrick 53.8% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 59.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 92.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 84.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
55.1% (439)
-13.5%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
66.7% (3)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
49.1% (53)
+5.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
44.1% (93)
58.2% (225)
Away
38.9% (72)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
36.0%
56.7%
P2
37.9%
52.8%
P3
52.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
35.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |