Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Carrick 52.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 93.2%
Defensive zone
Newhook 70.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 86.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Newhook
Carrick
Last 10: Newhook 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
1
Newhook
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
7
Newhook
Carrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Newhook
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
52.1% (2,513)
-10.6%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
61.3% (75)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
50.7% (430)
-3.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
41.6% (1,061)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
39.9%
51.8%
P2
41.9%
52.2%
P3
43.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |