Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 46.0% vs Carrick 53.1% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 62.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 90.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 85.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Newhook
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (77)
54.3% (346)
-14.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
48.4% (31)
+6.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Newhook is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Newhook shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Newhook
Carrick
Home
41.3% (46)
59.0% (161)
Away
41.9% (43)
50.2% (219)
By Period
Newhook
Carrick
P1
31.3%
55.5%
P2
39.4%
51.2%
P3
56.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |