Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kopitar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Kopitar 56.8% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 57.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 56.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Tuch
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tuch
Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
2
Tuch
Kopitar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Kopitar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
56.9% (1,085)
-17.3%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
68.8% (256)
-38.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
43.9% (196)
+5.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +38.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kopitar
Home
47.1% (102)
58.4% (774)
Away
33.7% (86)
56.0% (763)
By Period
Tuch
Kopitar
P1
41.5%
59.4%
P2
43.3%
56.8%
P3
37.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |