Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tuch on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kopitar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Kopitar 54.5% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tuch 71.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 64.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 58.6%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Tuch
Kopitar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Tuch
Kopitar
Last 10: Tuch 4-6 Kopitar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
4
2
Tuch
Kopitar
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
3
Tuch
Kopitar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
0
1
Tuch
Kopitar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kopitar
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
54.6% (16,723)
-15.9%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
59.2% (3,582)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
48.4% (2,941)
-5.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kopitar shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kopitar
Home
42.1% (394)
55.3% (11,643)
Away
38.8% (402)
53.7% (11,651)
By Period
Tuch
Kopitar
P1
44.7%
54.5%
P2
40.6%
54.9%
P3
36.0%
53.9%
OT
27.3%
59.2%
Final 5 min
39.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |