Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Horvat 54.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tuch 89.9%
Defensive zone
Tuch 77.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 86.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Tuch
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Tuch
Horvat
Last 10: Tuch 2-8 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
10
Tuch
Horvat
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Tuch
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
53.9% (12,606)
-15.2%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
61.0% (2,699)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
47.1% (1,494)
-3.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Home / Away
Tuch
Horvat
Home
42.1% (394)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
38.8% (402)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Tuch
Horvat
P1
44.7%
54.1%
P2
40.6%
54.4%
P3
36.0%
55.0%
OT
27.3%
49.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2018 | OT | 02:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |