Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Horvat 56.5% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 72.7%
Defensive zone
Tuch 55.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 66.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Tuch
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tuch
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
3
Tuch
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
54.7% (1,126)
-10.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
67.0% (342)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.1% (217)
-18.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Tuch
Horvat
Home
46.9% (32)
59.8% (853)
Away
39.5% (43)
53.8% (832)
By Period
Tuch
Horvat
P1
56.3%
55.0%
P2
35.5%
58.3%
P3
27.3%
57.8%
OT
0.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |