Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Horvat 57.6% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Tuch
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tuch
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tuch
Horvat
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
58.6% (987)
-19.0%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
60.6% (251)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
45.7% (81)
+3.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Tuch
Horvat
Home
47.1% (102)
59.2% (684)
Away
33.7% (86)
57.0% (635)
By Period
Tuch
Horvat
P1
41.5%
57.9%
P2
43.3%
55.4%
P3
37.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
39.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.0%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |