Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 58.8%
Defensive zone
Tuch 58.2%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 50.4%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Tuch
Mittelstadt
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
44.7% (886)
-5.1%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
40.2% (112)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
40.0% (5)
+9.0%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Mittelstadt is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Home
47.1% (102)
46.0% (491)
Away
33.7% (86)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Tuch
Mittelstadt
P1
41.5%
44.0%
P2
43.3%
46.4%
P3
37.5%
41.9%
Final 5 min
39.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%