Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 63.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 54.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Tuch
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
45.0% (3,922)
-6.3%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
49.7% (666)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
37.5% (96)
+5.7%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,904).
Home / Away
Tuch
Mittelstadt
Home
42.1% (394)
46.7% (2,316)
Away
38.8% (402)
44.3% (2,368)
By Period
Tuch
Mittelstadt
P1
44.7%
46.8%
P2
40.6%
46.1%
P3
36.0%
44.0%
OT
27.3%
36.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |