Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Farabee 45.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 54.6%
Defensive zone
Tuch 60.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 51.8%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Tuch
Farabee
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Farabee
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
0
1
Tuch
Farabee
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
34.3% (35)
+5.3%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
33.3% (12)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
100.0% (2)
-51.0%
On penalty kill, Farabee has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Farabee is 29.4% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Tuch
Farabee
Home
47.1% (102)
34.8% (23)
Away
33.7% (86)
38.5% (26)
By Period
Tuch
Farabee
P1
41.5%
47.4%
P2
43.3%
31.6%
P3
37.5%
27.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |