Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Farabee 48.0% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 57.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 55.2%
Neutral zone
Tuch 55.2%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Tuch
Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
44.4% (36)
+1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
40.0% (10)
-12.7%
On power play, Farabee has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Farabee is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Tuch
Farabee
Home
48.5% (33)
38.1% (21)
Away
37.1% (35)
48.3% (29)
By Period
Tuch
Farabee
P1
33.3%
56.5%
P2
46.2%
43.8%
P3
52.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%