Alex Tuch vs Jonathan Marchessault

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alex Tuch holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Tuch 44.1% vs Marchessault 40.1% (+15.6%)
Offensive zone Marchessault 61.9%
Defensive zone Tuch 67.2%
Neutral zone Marchessault 52.7%
Result Alex Tuch favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Tuch Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Tuch
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
25.4% (63)
+14.2%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
25.0% (4)
+5.8%
On even strength, Tuch has a +14.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Tuch is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Tuch shoots right. Marchessault is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchessault
Home
47.1% (102)
30.0% (30)
Away
33.7% (86)
21.6% (37)
By Period
Tuch
Marchessault
P1
41.5%
15.6%
P2
43.3%
34.6%
P3
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
28.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%
40.0%
41.0%
Marchessault
32.0%
32.0%
25.4%