Alex Tuch vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Marchessault 45.9% (+9.3%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 55.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.8%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Tuch
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
30.0% (30)
+16.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
On power play, Marchessault has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Tuch is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Tuch shoots right. Marchessault is 22.2% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tuch
Marchessault
Home
48.5% (33)
33.3% (21)
Away
37.1% (35)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Tuch
Marchessault
P1
33.3%
45.5%
P2
46.2%
25.0%
P3
52.9%
22.2%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
33.3%