Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Celebrini 48.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 66.4%
Defensive zone
Tuch 69.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 65.1%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Tuch
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Celebrini
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Tuch
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
47.2% (901)
-7.6%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
54.7% (139)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
54.5% (11)
-5.5%
On power play, Celebrini has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Celebrini is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Tuch
Celebrini
Home
47.1% (102)
47.6% (553)
Away
33.7% (86)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Tuch
Celebrini
P1
41.5%
46.6%
P2
43.3%
46.4%
P3
37.5%
51.8%
Final 5 min
39.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |