Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 38.4% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.6% vs Celebrini 48.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 78.3%
Defensive zone
Tuch 64.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 67.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Tuch
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Celebrini
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Tuch
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (475)
47.7% (1,618)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.3% (203)
54.8% (230)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (107)
59.4% (32)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tuch is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Tuch shoots right. Celebrini is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Tuch
Celebrini
Home
42.2% (393)
47.5% (965)
Away
38.8% (392)
50.1% (915)
By Period
Tuch
Celebrini
P1
45.0%
46.1%
P2
40.7%
48.4%
P3
35.7%
51.6%
OT
22.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
40.5%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |