Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Celebrini 48.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 76.0%
Defensive zone
Tuch 70.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 70.9%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Tuch
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Celebrini
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Tuch
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
47.7% (1,825)
-9.0%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
53.8% (247)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
55.6% (36)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Tuch
Celebrini
Home
42.1% (394)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
38.8% (402)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
Tuch
Celebrini
P1
44.7%
47.2%
P2
40.6%
46.9%
P3
36.0%
51.5%
OT
27.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |