Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Kadri 46.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 64.2%
Defensive zone
Tuch 66.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 50.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Tuch
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tuch
Kadri
Last 5: Tuch 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Tuch
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Tuch
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
45.7% (1,295)
-6.1%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
52.7% (146)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
34.8% (23)
+14.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Kadri is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kadri
Home
47.1% (102)
46.5% (725)
Away
33.7% (86)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Tuch
Kadri
P1
41.5%
47.2%
P2
43.3%
44.9%
P3
37.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |