Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Kadri 48.7% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 62.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 55.3%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.1%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Tuch
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Tuch
Kadri
Last 9: Tuch 4-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Tuch
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
3
2
Tuch
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Tuch
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
48.2% (12,510)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
53.0% (1,892)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
41.0% (293)
+2.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Tuch
Kadri
Home
42.1% (394)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
38.8% (402)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Tuch
Kadri
P1
44.7%
49.2%
P2
40.6%
48.8%
P3
36.0%
48.0%
OT
27.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |