Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 54.6%
Neutral zone
Tuch 50.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Tuch
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
37.7% (53)
+6.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
40.9% (44)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
66.7% (3)
-33.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tuch is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Tuch shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Tuch
Schmaltz
Home
46.9% (32)
34.7% (49)
Away
39.5% (43)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Tuch
Schmaltz
P1
56.3%
25.9%
P2
35.5%
46.2%
P3
27.3%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%