Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.4%
Defensive zone
Tuch 72.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Tuch
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
48.1% (268)
-8.5%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
50.5% (91)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
58.8% (17)
-9.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tuch is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Tuch shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Tuch
Schmaltz
Home
47.1% (102)
49.0% (206)
Away
33.7% (86)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Tuch
Schmaltz
P1
41.5%
53.6%
P2
43.3%
46.2%
P3
37.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
39.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%