Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Hischier 56.2% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 61.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 53.0%
Neutral zone
Tuch 50.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Tuch
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tuch
Hischier
Last 5: Tuch 2-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tuch
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tuch
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Tuch
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
56.1% (1,018)
-14.6%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
59.9% (289)
-43.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
51.3% (80)
-10.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hischier
Home
34.8% (46)
56.5% (706)
Away
44.1% (59)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Tuch
Hischier
P1
48.6%
54.8%
P2
43.9%
57.8%
P3
25.0%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |