Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Hischier 55.2% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 74.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 72.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 70.9%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Tuch
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tuch
Hischier
Last 8: Tuch 2-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Tuch
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
55.8% (1,228)
-16.2%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
62.1% (282)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
47.6% (267)
+1.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hischier
Home
47.1% (102)
56.5% (867)
Away
33.7% (86)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Tuch
Hischier
P1
41.5%
57.9%
P2
43.3%
55.9%
P3
37.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
39.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Alex Tuch |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |