Scouting Report
Warren Foegele holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.9% vs Foegele 49.5% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Foegele 51.6%
Defensive zone
Tuch 66.1%
Neutral zone
Tuch 54.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Tuch
Foegele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (65)
57.1% (7)
-15.6%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
25.0% (4)
-8.3%
On even strength, Foegele has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Tuch is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Tuch shoots right. Foegele is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Tuch
Foegele
Home
34.8% (46)
40.0% (5)
Away
44.1% (59)
50.0% (6)
By Period
Tuch
Foegele
P1
48.6%
75.0%
P2
43.9%
33.3%
P3
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.0%
Foegele
34.0%▼
45.5%
45.5%