Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.0% vs 40.7%). Tuch wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 44.1% vs Foegele 46.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foegele 56.1%
Defensive zone
Tuch 69.6%
Neutral zone
Foegele 50.5%
Result
Warren Foegele favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Tuch
Foegele
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Foegele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foegele
0
1
Tuch
Foegele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (111)
43.1% (51)
-3.5%
Power Play
30.8% (26)
50.0% (2)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
16.7% (6)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Tuch is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (158).
Tuch shoots right. Foegele is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Tuch
Foegele
Home
47.1% (102)
33.3% (33)
Away
33.7% (86)
50.0% (26)
By Period
Tuch
Foegele
P1
41.5%
40.9%
P2
43.3%
33.3%
P3
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Foegele
34.0%▼
45.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Warren Foegele |