Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs McTavish 50.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 61.8%
Defensive zone
McTavish 68.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 70.7%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Turcotte
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Turcotte
McTavish
Last 7: Turcotte 5-2 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
0
Turcotte
McTavish
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Turcotte
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
51.1% (769)
-7.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
50.6% (178)
+9.4%
On power play, Turcotte has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Turcotte shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Turcotte
McTavish
Home
46.3% (41)
52.3% (461)
Away
45.0% (80)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Turcotte
McTavish
P1
43.6%
51.5%
P2
39.0%
54.0%
P3
53.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
37.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |