Alex Turcotte vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs McTavish 48.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Turcotte leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Turcotte 61.7%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 61.3%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 56.1%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Turcotte
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Turcotte
McTavish
Last 10: Turcotte 7-3 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
0
Turcotte
McTavish
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Turcotte
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
2
Turcotte
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.2% (2,788)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
52.6% (435)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
34.3% (35)
+65.7%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +65.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Turcotte
McTavish
Home
51.7% (346)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
51.2% (332)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Turcotte
McTavish
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
53.8%
47.8%
P3
46.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |