Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Beniers 47.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 50.8%
Defensive zone
Beniers 65.6%
Neutral zone
Beniers 53.5%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Turcotte
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Turcotte
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
1
Turcotte
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
48.3% (1,050)
-4.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
42.9% (105)
+17.1%
On power play, Turcotte has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Turcotte shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Beniers
Home
46.3% (41)
48.7% (630)
Away
45.0% (80)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Turcotte
Beniers
P1
43.6%
49.2%
P2
39.0%
45.0%
P3
53.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
37.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |