Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Beniers 49.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 66.7%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 57.2%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 65.2%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Turcotte
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Turcotte
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
Beniers
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
48.9% (833)
+4.7%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
58.3% (36)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (32)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Beniers
Home
53.2% (263)
52.4% (460)
Away
55.0% (209)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Turcotte
Beniers
P1
57.2%
48.4%
P2
59.6%
51.1%
P3
44.1%
47.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |