Alex Turcotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 34.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Turcotte
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
49.2% (1,266)
-5.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
54.9% (193)
+5.1%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Turcotte is 34.3% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Turcotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Turcotte
MacKinnon
Home
46.3% (41)
50.9% (740)
Away
45.0% (80)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Turcotte
MacKinnon
P1
43.6%
50.9%
P2
39.0%
51.8%
P3
53.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
37.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%