Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Kadri 47.6% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.1%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Turcotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Turcotte
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
47.4% (821)
+6.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
48.8% (86)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.5% (13)
+61.5%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Kadri
Home
53.2% (263)
46.6% (487)
Away
55.0% (209)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Turcotte
Kadri
P1
57.2%
52.7%
P2
59.6%
50.2%
P3
44.1%
40.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |