Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Kadri 48.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Turcotte leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Turcotte 52.4%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 58.3%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 57.5%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Turcotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Turcotte
Kadri
Last 10: Turcotte 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Turcotte
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
0
Turcotte
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
48.2% (12,510)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
53.0% (1,892)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.0% (293)
+59.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Kadri
Home
51.7% (346)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
51.2% (332)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Turcotte
Kadri
P1
53.8%
49.2%
P2
53.8%
48.8%
P3
46.5%
48.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |