Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 52.1% vs Kadri 48.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Turcotte leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Turcotte 60.8%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 62.7%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 60.8%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Turcotte
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Turcotte
Kadri
Last 10: Turcotte 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Turcotte
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
0
Turcotte
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (608)
48.3% (12,377)
+3.5%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
53.1% (1,873)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.0% (293)
+59.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Turcotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Turcotte shoots left. Kadri is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,267).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Kadri
Home
54.2% (299)
49.3% (7,387)
Away
50.8% (329)
48.2% (7,159)
By Period
Turcotte
Kadri
P1
55.0%
49.3%
P2
55.2%
48.9%
P3
46.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.4%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |