Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 47.5% vs Kelly 43.9% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 78.6%
Defensive zone
Kelly 80.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.1%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Turcotte
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (111)
44.8% (556)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
0.0% (2)
+60.0%
On power play, Turcotte has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Turcotte is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Turcotte shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Kelly
Home
46.3% (41)
44.8% (368)
Away
45.0% (80)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Turcotte
Kelly
P1
43.6%
46.7%
P2
39.0%
48.0%
P3
53.7%
34.8%
Final 5 min
37.9%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
45.5%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%