Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Strome 45.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 75.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 64.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 69.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Turcotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Strome
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Turcotte
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Turcotte
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
44.2% (267)
+9.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
37.0% (27)
+33.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Turcotte shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Strome
Home
53.2% (263)
42.0% (157)
Away
55.0% (209)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Turcotte
Strome
P1
57.2%
40.0%
P2
59.6%
46.4%
P3
44.1%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |