Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Strome 44.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 61.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 73.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Turcotte
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turcotte
Strome
Last 5: Turcotte 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Turcotte
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Turcotte
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
44.1% (6,839)
+7.0%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
49.3% (854)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.5% (410)
+58.5%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Turcotte is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Turcotte shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Strome
Home
51.7% (346)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
51.2% (332)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Turcotte
Strome
P1
53.8%
44.0%
P2
53.8%
45.3%
P3
46.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |