Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Bennett 48.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 55.1%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 72.7%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 66.3%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Turcotte
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Turcotte
Bennett
Last 5: Turcotte 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
46.4% (780)
+7.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
57.3% (150)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.8% (46)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Bennett
Home
53.2% (263)
50.3% (519)
Away
55.0% (209)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Turcotte
Bennett
P1
57.2%
47.5%
P2
59.6%
46.6%
P3
44.1%
49.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |