Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Bennett 47.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 52.3%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 61.1%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 55.2%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Turcotte
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Turcotte
Bennett
Last 5: Turcotte 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
0
Turcotte
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
46.8% (5,683)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
53.7% (555)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.8% (256)
+58.2%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Bennett
Home
51.7% (346)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
51.2% (332)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Turcotte
Bennett
P1
53.8%
48.0%
P2
53.8%
46.5%
P3
46.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |