Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Turcotte wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 75.3%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 53.2%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Last 5: Turcotte 3-2 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Turcotte
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
54.1% (355)
-0.5%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
53.8% (13)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
47.6% (143)
+52.4%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Turcotte is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Turcotte shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Home
53.2% (263)
54.3% (278)
Away
55.0% (209)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Turcotte
Dellandrea
P1
57.2%
54.2%
P2
59.6%
50.6%
P3
44.1%
51.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |