Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 76.7%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 76.4%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 50.3%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Last 8: Turcotte 4-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
Turcotte
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
2
1
Turcotte
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
50.5% (1,108)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
59.4% (32)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.4% (318)
+56.6%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Turcotte is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Turcotte shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Dellandrea
Home
51.7% (346)
49.4% (741)
Away
51.2% (332)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Turcotte
Dellandrea
P1
53.8%
49.7%
P2
53.8%
48.6%
P3
46.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |