Alexander Kerfoot vs Casey Mittelstadt
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Mittelstadt 44.7% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 85.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 81.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Last 8: Kerfoot 5-3 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
2
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
44.7% (886)
+8.4%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
40.2% (112)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
40.0% (5)
+8.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kerfoot is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Kerfoot shoots left. Mittelstadt is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Home
57.4% (235)
46.0% (491)
Away
47.9% (259)
42.4% (512)
By Period
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
P1
53.2%
44.0%
P2
53.3%
46.4%
P3
50.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |