Alexander Kerfoot vs Casey Mittelstadt
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Mittelstadt shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 52.9%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 78.2%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 66.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Last 10: Kerfoot 6-4 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
5
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
1
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
2
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
45.0% (3,922)
+3.7%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
49.7% (666)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
37.5% (96)
+2.3%
On even strength, Kerfoot has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,110).
Kerfoot shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,780).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
Home
51.0% (1,786)
46.7% (2,316)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
44.3% (2,368)
By Period
Kerfoot
Mittelstadt
P1
47.2%
46.8%
P2
46.0%
46.1%
P3
50.4%
44.0%
OT
29.4%
36.6%
Final 5 min
48.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |