Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 52.0% vs Bedard 39.8% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 82.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 84.3%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
0
1
Kerfoot
Bedard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (356)
38.0% (618)
+15.1%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
38.7% (31)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (114)
57.1% (7)
-8.9%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
57.4% (235)
40.5% (316)
Away
47.9% (259)
36.2% (340)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
53.2%
37.2%
P2
53.3%
36.9%
P3
50.9%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
52.4%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |