Alexander Kerfoot vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Bedard 41.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Kerfoot leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 74.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 81.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Kerfoot
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kerfoot
Bedard
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
5
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
0
Kerfoot
Bedard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
3
Kerfoot
Bedard
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
40.1% (1,580)
+8.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
51.9% (77)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
50.0% (24)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,375).
Kerfoot shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Bedard
Home
51.0% (1,786)
43.3% (785)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Kerfoot
Bedard
P1
47.2%
39.0%
P2
46.0%
40.7%
P3
50.4%
42.6%
OT
29.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.9%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |