Alexander Kerfoot vs Derek Stepan
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 45.3% vs Stepan 54.8% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 62.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 55.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Kerfoot
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Kerfoot
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (131)
54.5% (374)
-9.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
64.7% (68)
-29.9%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kerfoot is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stepan
Home
49.5% (107)
54.5% (222)
Away
32.4% (71)
57.2% (222)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stepan
P1
38.2%
57.5%
P2
47.4%
54.7%
P3
40.4%
55.9%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
42.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |