Alexander Kerfoot vs Derek Stepan
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Stepan 53.4% (-9.5%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 62.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 67.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.3%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Kerfoot
Stepan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
55.3% (358)
-10.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
0.0% (3)
+52.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
50.8% (61)
-15.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stepan
Home
47.6% (84)
57.7% (213)
Away
41.0% (61)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stepan
P1
50.9%
56.3%
P2
38.2%
48.9%
P3
44.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%