Alexander Kerfoot vs Joe Pavelski
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.5%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.4%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 70.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
52.3% (560)
-7.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
57.5% (113)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
62.5% (16)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Home
47.6% (84)
54.2% (360)
Away
41.0% (61)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pavelski
P1
50.9%
54.5%
P2
38.2%
56.7%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
44.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |