Alexander Kerfoot vs Joe Pavelski
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 48.0% vs Pavelski 50.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 52.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 53.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Last 8: Kerfoot 4-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
2
Kerfoot
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
1
Kerfoot
Pavelski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (595)
51.5% (594)
-1.1%
Power Play
45.2% (124)
51.7% (87)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (143)
28.6% (14)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kerfoot is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pavelski
Home
51.4% (467)
53.1% (339)
Away
43.5% (395)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pavelski
P1
49.1%
53.8%
P2
42.4%
47.8%
P3
52.7%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |